Will The Bush Tax Cuts Be Extended By Obama And Congress Into 2013 And Beyond?

At the very beginning of 2011 Congress signed into law a two year extension for the Bush Tax cuts that meant that we wouldn’t have to worry about our tax rates going up in 2011 or 2012.  Now we’re halfway through 2012 and since it’s an election year we’re beginning to talk about how all of these tax cuts are going to be expiring at the end of the year.  No politicians want to be held responsible for increases in taxes, especially on the middle class.

Since there are so many tax rate cuts, credits and other tax incentives expiring on 12/31/2012, they’re beginning to call the situation we face on New Years Day 2013 as Taxmageddon.

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Bush Tax Cuts Extended Into 2013?

What Tax Changes Happen In 2013?

So what are some of the changes that will be happening at midnight on December 31st?  Here are a few of the big ones.

  • Your tax rates increase:  The Bush/Obama tax cuts were not permanent,  only extended for 2 years. They will expire on 12/31 and the bottom rate of 10 percent increases to 15 percent.  A top rate of 35 percent would increase to 39.6 percent.  Most would see an increase in rate from 3-5%.  See below for the current tax rates.
2012 Tax Brackets
Single
Married Filing Jointly
10% Bracket$0 – $8,700$0 – $17,400
15% Bracket$8,701 – $35,350$17,401 – $70,700
25% Bracket$35,351 – $85,650$70,701 – $142,700
28% Bracket$85,651 – $178,650$142,701 – $217,450
33% Bracket$178,651 – $388,350$217,451 – $388,350
35% Bracket$388,350+$388,350+
  • Child tax credit – decreased: The $1000 child tax credit will be cut in half from $1000 to $500.
  • The marriage penalty would return: The standard deduction for married filers would no longer be twice that of a single filer – re-engaging the so called “marriage penalty”.
  • 2% payroll tax cut of  ends: The payroll tax cut which was extended for 2012 will expire.  The average taxpayer will see a $1000 increase in taxes in 2013 due to this tax cut expiring.

So we’ll be seeing an increase in marginal tax rates, a decrease in the child tax credit and an increase in taxes because of the expiring payroll tax cut.

What Will The Politicians Do About Expiring Bush Tax Cuts?

So with the marginal tax rates set to go up at the end of the year, President Obama and Congress are now starting to hash out what they’re going to do.  As you might expect the Republicans are pushing for an across the board extension of the tax cuts.  Democrats on the other hand are pushing for an extension only for those making less than $250,000. From Huffington Post:

President Barack Obama would veto legislation that extends all of the Bush administration’s tax cuts, including those for the middle class, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Monday.

But top Republican aides said they don’t buy it.

During his daily briefing, Carney was initially vague about whether Obama would go so far as vetoing such a bill if it landed on his desk. Republicans are pushing to extend all of the Bush tax cuts before they expire at the end of the year, while Democrats only want to keep the cuts targeting people making $250,000 or less. Until now, the White House hasn’t definitively said whether Obama is prepared to veto an across-the-board tax cut extension, even if it includes the tax cuts sought by him and Democrats.

“He would not support it. He would not sign that bill,” Carney said, when asked if Obama could support a bill that extended all of the Bush tax cuts. Pressed further on whether the president would simply not sign such a bill or if he would actually veto it, Carney finally said, “He would veto.”

So from the sound of it looks like we’re going to be gearing up for another tax cut battle where both sides refuse to give an inch until the bitter end.

For now, Congress appears no closer to finding middle ground on the issue. The Republican-controlled House is lining up a vote later this month to extend all of the Bush tax cuts, while the Democratic-controlled Senate appears ready to move a bill to extend only the middle-class cuts.

Sounds like both sides are preparing competing bills for Congress to consider later in July.  I’m not confident that either will pass right away. We shall see.

Personally I hope they extend the Bush tax cuts for everyone, and get about the business of trying to find ways to cut back on spending.

What are you thoughts?  Do you think they’ll let any or all of the tax cuts expire, or would that be too dangerous in an election year?

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Last Edited: 10th July 2012

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Comments

    Share Your Thoughts:

  1. Tim says

    Peter, you have such a great blog (which I read daily). But, please don’t reference the Huffington Post. It’s like…tabloid (if it even rises to that level)! Reading the HP actually reduces one’s IQ (my extremely unscientific opinion)!!!

    But of course, I will continue to read your blog daily because you are my favorite blogger. Always good stuff!

    Take care, my friend!

  2. JD says

    Our income retired falls far below the $200,000 mark and the Bush tax cuts saved us almost $100 per month in taxes. If that goes, it means further tightening of our belts and other restrictions on an already tight budget.

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