Lending Club has been around for about 5 years now, and in that time it has grown from a small startup to become the next big thing. It has become, in my opinion, a legitimate option for people looking to add new investments to their portfolio, and the fact that they've had 21 consecutive quarters with positive platform returns shows that they're here to stay.
On November 5th, 2012 Lending Club hit a huge milestone when they surpassed the $1 billion dollars in personal loans given to borrowers. That's a lot of money! Not only that but Lending Club has now paid out over $85 million dollars in interest to investors.
San Francisco-based Lending Club has experienced tremendous growth since it began in 2007, with facilitated loan volumes doubling each year and on pace to triple in 2012. With $82 million in personal loans facilitated in the month of October, Lending Club is also on a $1 billion annual run rate.
“The platform has now reached a scale and stability that makes it even more attractive to borrowers and investors,” said Lending Club CEO Renaud Laplanche. “Larger commitments from a wider base of investors mean a faster funding process for qualified borrowers, and higher loan volumes mean more choices for investors and more efficient pricing overall.”
Lending Club reduces the cost of traditional banking to offer borrowers better rates and investors better returns. The platform's growth has been largely fueled by borrowers looking for lower rates. More than 72 percent of borrowers on the platform report using their personal loans to pay off existing credit card balances. By focusing on high-credit-quality borrowers, Lending Club's platform has also generated 21 consecutive quarters of positive returns.
Lending Club Returns Now At 12.22%
A few months ago I saw my Lending Club returns top 12% for the first time. Since then my returns haven't dipped below that number, but they have had a bit of up and down. This month they're back up to 12.22%, the highest it's ever been!
Since I topped 12% I've seen several loans go late, and had at least one more of them get charged off. Of the loans that are late, several of them are later in the loan, so don't have nearly as much to pay off as some of the others (good for me!). One of the late loans just updated, and apparently the borrower was just found to be deceased. That's the first time I've had that happen, and I'm assuming that the loan may get charged off as well. Sad. We'll see what happens with that one.
- Net Annualized Return of 12.22%: My last few Lending Club reports have showed increasing returns with my Lending Club account. The last year has seen it rise from 10.53% (still not too bad) all the way up to 12.22% this year. During that time I've added some higher interest loans, and seen a few more loans go late, but I'm still impressed with the results.
- Number of defaults.. Two charged off, with 7 new late: I've got 7 new late loans with about $100 in outstanding principal, mainly on a couple of the non-aged loans. There are two B, C and D loans that are late, and one E. The E grade loan is the one with the most principal still due as it went late very quickly. It still has over $24.28 in principal due on a $25 loan. The rest vary from having only a couple of dollars due in principal, to a couple that have $22 or so. Hopefully they'll all get back and current on their loans (except the deceased one who still owed $22 in principal on a $25 loan)
- Thirty seven loans have been paid off early: Twelve were A grade loans, ten were grade B loans, nine were C grade, one grade D, three grade E and two F. Looks like grade A and B loans are more likely to get paid back early, reducing returns. The earlier a loan is paid off, the less likely you are to be making money, and in some cases you may actually lose money! Another reason to consider investing in lower grade loans.
- I’m diversified by investing small amounts across multiple loans: I've had 192 loans since joining (146 issued and current loans, 37 paid off), with no more than $25 in each loan. In other words, I'm diversified across a decent amount of loans, lessening my risk from any one loan going into default or getting charged off. Of course to be fully diversified I believe Lending Club recommends 800 or more notes. I'm not there yet, and won't be until later when we've finished saving up a down payment for a home.
NOTE: Over 98.9% of all investors with 100 or more Notes have experienced positive returns. 100 Notes can be purchased with a minimum investment of $2,500.
What's Your Actual ROI?
When you're looking at the numbers on the Lending Club and Prosper sites, it has been pointed out time and again that their numbers are overly rosy view of what your actual return on investment will be. The ways that they calculate the ROI isn't really standardized, and they don't take into account how old your loans are, possible future default rates, or other things that may become a factor. The numbers they show are just something you have to take or leave.
Nickel Steamroller's Lending Club portfolio analyzer does a better job of giving you an idea of your actual ROI. Basically the analysis tool with give you an estimated ROI after you download all your notes from your Lending Club account and upload the .csv file. It will go through you notes and give sell recommendations, show duplicate notes and highlight notes that are below Lending Club’s average return (so you can sell them on the secondary platform). It will even give you a fun little map showing where your loans are (see mine above).
In looking at my returns on the analyzer, my actual return according to the site will be closer to 10.45%. It also gives me quite a few sell recommendations, particularly on some of my older lower interest loans that I did when first starting out. Those particular loans tend to be grade A or B, and have interest below 8%. I'm sticking with some of them for now, but down the road I may lean more towards the lower grade loans in my portfolio.
Evolving Lending Club Strategy
Here's the basic strategy I've been using with Lending Club since I started investing. The strategy has changed a little bit over time to include more low grade loans and a few loans with higher balances.
- Less than $10,000: I believe I’ll still be sticking with mostly loans below $10,000. Lower amounts mean higher likelihood of payback of the loan.
- Zero delinquencies: Again, I may fudge slightly on this one, but I still want it to be very few or zero delinquencies.
- Debt to income ratio below 20-25%: I like to invest in loans where the borrowers have a lower DTI ratio, and preferably have higher incomes. I’ll try to keep this as is.
- Good employment history: I like loans with a decent employment history of at least 2 years, and a decent income.
So that's what I'm doing with my Lending Club portfolio right now, and how I'm investing.
Are you currently investing in Lending Club? How are your returns looking? Tell us in the comments!